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    Market Research26 June 2026 · Page last updated 26 June 2026

    Australia's 1.2 million homes target: progress, funding, and who is responsible

    Aerial view of an Australian outer-suburban housing construction site at golden hour

    Australia is behind the straight-line pace needed to build 1.2 million new homes by June 2029. The target requires an average of 60,000 completions per quarter over five years. Over the first six quarters of the Accord period, 262,592 homes were completed nationally, leaving Australia about 97,400 completions below the straight-line pace needed to meet the target. Progress is uneven across states, and no single level of government controls delivery.

    National target

    1.2M

    New homes by 30 June 2029

    Required pace

    60,000

    Completions needed per quarter

    National share built (Sep 2025)

    18%

    Of the 1.2 million target, to September 2025

    Expected national completion

    Jun 2030

    Model estimate; 12 months past the June 2029 deadline

    About the data This article tracks the 1.2 million homes target using gross dwelling completions, consistent with the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council (NHSAC) methodology. Approvals and commencements are treated as pipeline indicators, while state and territory figures use NHSAC's population-implied shares rather than formal housing quotas. Data was last checked in June 2026 and uses the latest available NHSAC and ABS releases.

    Is Australia on track to build 1.2 million homes by June 2029?

    Live quarterly tracker showing national and state-level progress against the Accord target, updated each ABS Building Activity release.

    Read full article →

    How many homes are built in Australia each year?

    Annual and quarterly dwelling completions data for Australia, with state breakdowns and historical trends from 2000 to the latest ABS release.

    Read full article →

    Section 01 · The Accord

    What is Australia's 1.2 million homes target?

    Australia's 1.2 million homes target is a National Housing Accord commitment to build 1.2 million new well-located homes between 1 July 2024 and 30 June 2029. This requires an average of 60,000 completed dwellings per quarter.

    The National Housing Accord was originally agreed in 2022 with an aspirational target of one million new homes over five years. National Cabinet updated that figure on 16 August 2023, raising it to 1.2 million new well-located homes from 1 July 2024 to 30 June 2029. The higher target followed stronger population growth and elevated net overseas migration from 2022.

    At 1.2 million homes over 20 quarters, the required pace is 60,000 completions every quarter. Australia has not sustained that level of completions over the past five years. The best financial year on recent record was 191,881 completions in 2019–20, with a historical peak of approximately 219,000 in the year to September 2018.

    The target was set against a period of worsening housing affordability as at 2025:

    • The share of household income required to service a new mortgage remained elevated at 45.9%.
    • The median time to save a 20% deposit reached 11.2 years.

    The 1.2 million homes target counts gross completions, not net supply

    The 1.2 million target counts gross dwelling completions only. It does not subtract demolished dwellings or other losses from the housing stock. Net housing supply is therefore a lower figure and should not be compared directly with the Accord target. NHSAC notes that the ABS quarterly dwelling completions series is the official tracking measure.

    Who signed the National Housing Accord?

    The Accord was signed by 25 parties across government, the superannuation sector, institutional investment, and the construction industry.

    Government

    • Commonwealth
    • New South Wales
    • Victoria
    • Queensland
    • South Australia
    • Western Australia
    • Tasmania
    • Northern Territory
    • Australian Capital Territory
    • Australian Local Government Association

    Superannuation & investment

    • AustralianSuper
    • Australian Retirement Trust
    • HESTA Super Fund
    • Aware Super
    • Cbus Super
    • Colonial First State
    • UniSuper
    • RestSuper
    • Insignia
    • TelstraSuper
    • BlackRock
    • IFM Investors

    Industry

    • Master Builders Australia
    • Housing Industry Association
    • Property Council of Australia

    Key Commonwealth commitments

    • $3.5B Housing Support Programme
    • $3B New Home Bonus
    • $2B Social Housing Accelerator
    • $350M for 10,000 affordable homes
    • Concessional loans via Housing Australia

    Section 02 · Target allocation

    How NHSAC tracks the homes target across states

    Western Australia is the only large state where NHSAC's estimated Accord-period supply matches its population-implied share of the target. NSW has the largest projected shortfall, with an estimated 118,000-home gap against an implied target of 376,000 homes. Nationally, NHSAC estimates 980,000 gross completions over the Accord period, leaving a projected gap of 220,000 against the 1.2 million target.

    NHSAC apportioned the 1.2 million target using each jurisdiction's share of national population as at December 2022, the latest figures available when the updated target was agreed.

    These figures are not formal state and territory quotas. They are NHSAC benchmarking shares used to compare expected supply with each jurisdiction's population share.

    State or territory Pop. share Target (homes) Prior 5-yr supply Est. Accord supply Ratio to target
    New South Wales 31.4% 376,000 251,000 258,000 69%
    Victoria 25.5% 306,000 306,000 287,000 94%
    Queensland 20.5% 246,000 166,000 204,000 83%
    Western Australia 10.8% 129,000 75,000 129,000 100%
    South Australia 7.0% 84,000 54,000 66,000 78%
    Tasmania 2.2% 26,000 16,000 13,000 51%
    Australian Capital Territory 1.8% 21,000 24,000 22,000 103%
    Northern Territory 1.0% 11,000 3,000 4,000 34%

    Source: NHSAC, State of the Housing System 2026 (Table 4.1). Population shares are December 2022 ABS Estimated Resident Population. Estimated Accord period supply figures reflect NHSAC's early 2026 "no conflict" outlook. Target shares do not reflect formal agreement between the Australian Government and state and territory governments. All supply figures are rounded to the nearest thousand.

    The ACT's estimated full-period supply sits above 100% of its implied target, reflecting its prior construction record and current approvals pipeline. That 103% figure refers to NHSAC's estimated supply over the full Accord period, not homes already completed: the ACT had built 23% of its implied share as at September 2025.

    At the other end, the Northern Territory built only 3,000 homes in the five years before the Accord, yet its population-implied target of 11,000 is more than three times its recent pace. NSW carries the largest individual share at 376,000 homes, and its estimated Accord-period supply of 258,000 would leave a gap of 118,000 against its implied target, the largest absolute shortfall of any jurisdiction.

    Section 03 · State progress

    How each state and territory is tracking against the target

    Nationally, 18% of the 1.2 million target had been built as at September 2025.

    Approvals and commencements had each risen 17% since the Accord started. Victoria and the ACT each recorded 23% of their implied target shares built, the highest of any jurisdiction; the Northern Territory has completed just 5%.

    Progress is measured across three indicators: approvals, commencements and completions. Completions are the only measure that directly counts toward the 1.2 million homes target. Approvals and commencements show future pipeline activity, but they do not represent finished homes.

    National housing progress since the Accord started

    Building approvals and commencements had both risen 17% since the start of the Accord. Over the first five Accord quarters, 219,000 homes had been completed. Construction costs were 0.9% lower in real terms, and new houses were being completed 10% faster than at the start of the Accord.

    +17%

    Quarterly approvals since Accord start

    +17%

    Quarterly commencements since Accord start

    219K

    Completions over first 5 Accord quarters

    −0.9%

    Real construction costs since Accord start

    +10%

    Faster house build times since Accord start

    NHSAC Quarterly Report, March 2026. Approvals data to January 2026; completions to September 2025 quarter. Later ABS Building Activity data brings national completions to 262,592 over the first six Accord quarters.

    Share of Accord housing target approved and built, by state and territory in Australia

    % of each jurisdiction's population-implied Accord target; completions to September 2025, approvals to January 2026. States are ordered by share built; the approval view uses the same order for comparison.

    Share of target built (completions)

    Source: NHSAC Quarterly Report, March 2026. Approvals data are seasonally adjusted for states and in original terms for territories. The ACT's +117% approval surge partly reflects the impact of the Missing Middle Housing reforms. Expected completion dates are NHSAC model estimates reflecting expected future activity based on leading indicators and historical housing market dynamics.

    Victoria had the highest share built among the three largest states, at 23%. Its estimated completion date was September 2029, three months after the national target deadline. Completions fell 12% in the rolling 12 months to September 2025, the steepest decline among the larger states. Its forecast remains closer to the target date than most jurisdictions because prior delivery was substantial. The state built 306,000 homes in the five years before the Accord, exactly matching its implied Accord target.

    Western Australia had built 22% of its implied target share by September 2025, with approvals at 29%. Its estimated completion date was also September 2029. WA is the only large state where estimated full-period supply matches its implied target, at 100%.

    New South Wales had built 15% of its implied target share by September 2025. Its estimated completion date was June 2031, two years after the target deadline. NSW also has the largest projected shortfall, with estimated Accord-period supply of 258,000 homes against an implied target of 376,000.

    The Northern Territory had built 5% of its implied target share by September 2025, the lowest of any jurisdiction. Its estimated completion date was after 2034. The territory's implied target of 11,000 homes is more than three times the 3,000 homes built there in the five years before the Accord.

    Expected Accord completion dates by state and territory

    NHSAC model estimates as at March 2026. Target deadline: June 2029.

    Victoria

    Sep 2029

    23% built · 28% approved

    Western Australia

    Sep 2029

    22% built · 29% approved

    ACT

    Sep 2029

    23% built · 25% approved

    Queensland

    Sep 2030

    17% built · 26% approved

    South Australia

    Sep 2030

    19% built · 27% approved

    New South Wales

    Jun 2031

    15% built · 21% approved

    Tasmania

    Sep 2033

    12% built · 15% approved

    Northern Territory

    After 2034

    5% built · 9% approved

    Teal: on or near trackAmber: 12–18 months past deadlineRed: 24+ months past deadline

    Source: NHSAC Quarterly Report, March 2026. Expected completion dates are model estimates based on leading indicators and historical housing market dynamics. Australia national expected date: June 2030.

    Section 04 · Pipeline

    Why Australia is below the 1.2 million homes target pace

    Australia completed 43,536 dwellings in the December 2025 quarter, about 16,500 fewer than the 60,000 completions needed each quarter to stay on a straight-line path to the 1.2 million homes target. Over the first six quarters of the Accord period, the cumulative shortfall was approximately 97,400 completed dwellings.

    The construction pipeline is improving, but commencements have not yet translated into enough completed homes. In the December 2025 quarter, 53,567 dwellings commenced construction, up 8.0% from the September quarter and 26.1% above December 2024. There were also 236,858 dwellings under construction at the end of December 2025, including 88,630 new houses and 147,255 other residential dwellings.

    Under-construction dwellings add to future supply once building is completed, but the timing varies by dwelling type. Detached houses usually move through the pipeline faster than apartments, which means a larger apartment pipeline can take longer to appear in completion figures.

    Quarterly dwelling completions and commencements in Australia

    Seasonally adjusted, Dec 2017 to Dec 2025

    CompletionsCommencements60,000/quarter benchmark

    Source: ABS Building Activity, Australia, December 2025 (cat. 8752.0). The 60,000/quarter benchmark is an arithmetic calculation from 1.2 million homes over 20 quarters; it is not an ABS forecast or official series.

    How long does it take to build a house or apartment in Australia?

    House build times have improved from their recent peak, but they remain longer than before the pandemic. The average time to complete a new house peaked at 3.47 quarters in 2023–24 before easing to 3.07 quarters in 2024–25. That remains about 40% longer than the pre-COVID average of roughly 2.2 quarters.

    Western Australia had the longest average house build time among the states in 2024–25, at 4.37 quarters. This was down from a peak of 5.19 quarters in 2023–24.

    Apartment build times have continued to lengthen. The national average reached 9.58 quarters in 2024–25, up from 6.00 quarters in 2014–15. In NSW, the average apartment build time reached 10.61 quarters in 2024–25, equal to about 2.65 years from commencement to completion.

    Based on current average apartment build times, an apartment commenced at the start of the Accord period in mid-2024 would generally not be expected to complete until late 2026 or early 2027. Longer apartment build times are one reason completions can lag approvals and commencements, particularly in states with large higher-density pipelines.

    Average commencement-to-completion time by dwelling type in Australia

    In quarters (1 quarter = 3 months), financial years 2014–15 to 2024–25. Apartment data covers NSW, VIC and QLD only; ABS does not publish this series for other states due to insufficient quarterly observations.

    Houses (national)Townhouses (national)Apartments (NSW, VIC, QLD)

    Source: ABS Building Activity, Australia (cat. 8752.0); ABS feature article, average commencement to completion times. Figures are the average time between commencement and practical completion for dwellings completing in that financial year.

    Construction costs remain higher than before 2020

    Material and labour costs rose after 2021 and remain elevated, adding pressure to project costs and delivery conditions.

    Input costs to house construction

    +34.9%

    Index: 119.0 (2019–20) to 160.5 (2024–25). Growth has slowed: +1.4% in 2024–25, compared with annual growth above 12% in 2021–22 and 2022–23.

    Private construction sector wages

    +16.2%

    Index: 132.3 (2019–20) to 153.7 (2024–25). Wage growth remains elevated at +3.4% in 2024–25.

    Median estimated dwelling price

    +50.8%

    National median: $543,154 (2019–20) to $819,082 (2024–25). Capital cities: $626,730 to $901,898.

    Source: NHSAC, State of the Housing System 2026 (Appendix E, Table E.1). Input costs index is ABS Producer Price Indexes, house construction. Wages index is ABS Wage Price Index, private sector construction. Dwelling prices are financial year average national estimated median sales values.

    Downside scenarios for the 1.2 million homes target

    NHSAC's early 2026 baseline estimated 980,000 gross new homes over the Accord period, with the 1.2 million target reached in the September quarter of 2030. Two downside scenarios showed that higher construction costs could reduce Accord-period completions by about 10,000 homes under a shorter shock, or about 33,000 homes under a more prolonged shock. These are modelled scenarios, not forecasts.

    Section 05 · Responsibility

    Who is responsible for delivering the 1.2 million homes target?

    No single level of government is solely responsible for delivering the 1.2 million homes target. The Accord involves the Commonwealth, state and territory governments, local governments, institutional investors and the construction industry, but housing delivery depends on decisions across the full supply chain.

    The public framework focuses on incentives, reporting and planning reform rather than an automatic penalty for missing the target. Accountability is tracked through performance-based funding, quarterly progress reporting and the National Planning Reform Blueprint.

    Actor Role in housing delivery
    Commonwealth Government Sets national funding programmes, performance incentives and reporting frameworks. Coordinates national housing policy through National Cabinet. Provides payments to state, territory and local governments through the Housing Support Programme, New Home Bonus and Social Housing Accelerator.
    State and territory governments Control planning systems, zoning rules, land release pipelines and state infrastructure investment. Each has committed to an Accord implementation schedule and reports progress to National Cabinet twice yearly through the National Planning Reform Blueprint.
    Local governments Process development applications, manage local planning assessments and contribute to enabling infrastructure sequencing. The Housing Support Programme includes specific funding streams for local governments.
    Private sector Delivers most market housing and responds to pre-sale conditions, financing availability, labour supply, materials costs and planning certainty. Represented in the Accord through MBA, HIA and the Property Council of Australia.
    NHSAC Independent statutory body providing evidence-based advice, quarterly progress tracking, and annual housing system reporting. Established under the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council Act 2023.

    Source: Treasury, Delivering the National Housing Accord; NHSAC Quarterly Report, March 2026.

    Key planning and supply reforms since the Accord started

    States and territories have introduced planning, land release, infrastructure and housing supply reforms since July 2024. The reforms vary by jurisdiction, but most focus on faster assessment pathways, more medium-density housing, enabling infrastructure, land release and construction workforce capacity.

    • Transport Oriented Development programme, Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy, and infill affordable housing bonuses to boost density near public transport
    • Pattern Book designs for low and mid-rise housing to reduce design costs and speed up approvals
    • Development Coordination Authority to reduce red tape; Housing Delivery Authority for major project assessments
    • New State Significant assessment pathways for housing and an accelerated rezoning process
    • Pre-sale Finance Guarantee to unlock construction finance; Works-in-Kind guidelines to bring forward infrastructure delivery
    • Council performance framework: Statement of Expectations, public league table and financial incentives for faster housing assessments

    Source: NHSAC Quarterly Report, March 2026, overview of key supply initiatives since the start of the Accord.

    What the housing target data can and cannot show

    ABS and NHSAC data track whether homes are being approved, started and completed, and whether each jurisdiction is broadly aligned with its population-implied Accord share. The data cannot assign responsibility to one level of government or one part of the housing system. Housing delivery is affected by approvals, financing conditions, labour supply, materials availability, land release, enabling infrastructure and planning settings. These factors sit across different parts of the supply chain, which is why the target cannot be attributed to a single actor.

    Section 06 · Funding

    How Commonwealth funding supports housing delivery

    The housing programmes covered in this section total a combined $8.85 billion. This includes Accord-linked funding and the $2 billion Social Housing Accelerator, which was delivered before the Accord period and is separate from the 1.2 million homes target.

    The $3 billion New Home Bonus is the main Accord-linked performance incentive. It is designed to reward states and territories that exceed their population-implied share of the original one million homes target. As at March 2026, no New Home Bonus payments had been reported for any state or territory.

    The $3.5 billion Housing Support Programme funds planning capability, enabling infrastructure and social housing delivery. This includes the $2 billion Local Infrastructure Fund, announced in the 2026–27 Budget to support local infrastructure that enables new housing supply.

    The National Planning Reform Blueprint was agreed alongside the Accord and sets out planning, zoning and land release reforms. Planning ministers report progress to National Cabinet twice a year.

    Programme Amount Purpose
    New Home Bonus $3 billion Performance-based payments to states and territories exceeding their share of the original one million homes target. No payments made as at March 2026.
    Housing Support Programme: Stream 1 and Community Enabling Infrastructure $500 million Funding for state, territory and local governments to improve planning capability and deliver enabling infrastructure (2023–24 to 2024–25).
    Housing Support Programme: Priority Works Stream $1 billion Funding for state and territory governments for significant enabling infrastructure and social housing delivery. Implementation plans jointly agreed with five states.
    Housing Support Programme: Local Infrastructure Fund $2 billion New stream announced in the 2026–27 Budget to fund local infrastructure that enables new housing supply. Part of the $3.5 billion HSP total.
    Affordable housing commitment $350 million Supports 10,000 affordable homes over five years from 2024–25 at a minimum 7-star energy rating. States and territories agreed to support up to an additional 10,000, enabling a combined 20,000 total.
    Social Housing Accelerator $2 billion One-off payment delivered to states and territories in June 2023 to permanently increase social housing stock. Around 4,000 homes expected. Separate from the Accord target; covered in Section 07.

    Source: Treasury, Delivering the National Housing Accord; Treasury, Housing Support Programme; Treasury, National Planning Reform Blueprint.

    Affordable home allocations under the Commonwealth's 10,000-home contribution:

    • New South Wales: 3,100 homes
    • Victoria: 2,546 homes
    • Queensland: 2,049 homes
    • Western Australia: 1,076 homes
    • South Australia: 700 homes
    • Tasmania: 220 homes
    • ACT: 175 homes
    • Northern Territory: 96 homes

    These figures show each jurisdiction's published allocation under the Commonwealth's 10,000-home contribution. They do not include the additional homes states and territories agreed to support. The listed jurisdiction figures total 9,962 homes.

    Section 07 · Accelerator

    Social Housing Accelerator spending and delivery by state

    The Social Housing Accelerator is not part of the 1.2 million homes Accord target. It is a separate $2 billion programme focused on social housing stock and was delivered before the Accord period. It is included here to show how Commonwealth housing funding is allocated to states and tracked through delivery reporting.

    By 30 June 2025, 1,057 social housing dwellings had been completed nationally under the Social Housing Accelerator, with $617.6 million spent. NSW had the highest completion count at 580 dwellings, while South Australia had recorded zero completions at the reporting date.

    Delivery is back-loaded. A further 1,666 dwellings had commenced but were not yet complete, and 1,528 had been committed but not yet commenced as at 30 June 2025.

    Social Housing Accelerator: delivery pipeline in Australia by state, as at 30 June 2025

    Social housing dwellings by delivery stage

    CompletedCommenced (not yet complete)Committed (not yet commenced)

    Source: Treasury, Social Housing Accelerator Statements of Assurance, as at 30 June 2025. "Completed" = practical completion reached and site can be tenanted. "Commenced" = head contractor has site possession and material work underway. "Committed" = significant component formally contracted. South Australia reported zero completions at the reporting date. Victoria's allocated total is a range (692–769); ACT is 55–65.

    State or territory Allocated ($m) Spent ($m) Spend rate Completed Commenced Committed
    New South Wales $610.1m $311.2m 51% 580 544 425
    Victoria $496.5m $116.2m 23% 146 488 163
    Queensland $398.3m $93.2m 23% 110 107 415
    Western Australia $209.2m $54.1m 26% 192 280 95
    South Australia $135.8m $12.6m 9% 0 140 301
    Tasmania $50.0m $4.7m 9% 8 78 42
    Northern Territory $50.0m $13.8m 28% 4 29 46
    Australian Capital Territory $50.0m $11.8m 24% 17 0 41
    Total $2,000.0m $617.6m 31% 1,057 1,666 1,528

    Source: Treasury, Social Housing Accelerator Statements of Assurance, as at 30 June 2025. Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding. Tasmania's committed-but-not-spent ($55.5m) exceeds its allocation due to additional state contributions. Northern Territory is finalising scope for $2.2 million in remaining funds.

    The Social Housing Accelerator also includes a dedicated First Nations housing component. Of 427 intended First Nations dwellings, 181 had been completed by 30 June 2025, with a further 111 commenced and 135 committed.

    General information only. This article is based on publicly available data from NHSAC, the ABS and Australian Treasury. It is general information only and does not constitute financial, investment, housing policy or legal advice. Population-implied target shares and expected Accord completion dates are modelled estimates and may change as new data becomes available.

    References

    Chart Snapshots

    Quarterly dwelling completions and commencements in Australia
    Quarterly dwelling completions and commencements in Australia
    Share of Accord housing target built, by state and territory in Australia
    Share of Accord housing target built, by state and territory in Australia